It was 60 days ago when Morgan Rogers stood on the Sunderland turf, seeming perplexed as his coach admonished him for failing to anticipate a pass in behind. At that point, as the club went six without a win, it wasn't clear if his performances were a symptom or the reason of the team's more general malaise.
“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”
In the latest match, though, the touchline reaction was entirely much more joyous. When the in-form star swept in his second strike to restore the lead for Villa, the Spanish tactician discarded his coat, opened his arms and roared. The Birmingham club were on their way to a 10th successive win and despite not winning their initial half-dozen matches, find themselves only three points adrift of table-toppers Arsenal.
Is Aston Villa Genuine Title Contenders?
This is a particularly tough proposition to answer. Past precedent, the perceived status of Villa, indicates otherwise. Additionally, they've rarely been wholly dominant during this run, despite the fact the wins have piled up.
According to statistical analysis, on just two occasions has the side posted an expected goals figure significantly higher than the opposition. For a side who have just won 10 in a row, the Villans appear weirdly vulnerable – but right now the tight outcomes are swinging for them.
The Rogers Recipe
Their recent policy looks like to trade blows with an opponent before hoping their talisman to rescue them with some precise efforts. It happened at Leeds, it transpired against West Ham, and again when facing Manchester United.
Rogers' first goal stemmed from a superb shot, bent just inside the upright from the edge of the area. For his second acted as a slight scruffier version of his first as he pounced on an Ollie Watkins lay-off.
“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Common sense dictates no. Against United, the opposition had a greater number of attempts and more direct attempts. The team has won each of their last eight by a single goal. They have allowed goals in nearly all of those fixtures.
A reversion to average may well be the most significant challenge they must confront over the coming weeks. The forward, surely, cannot maintain blasting his shots into the top corner indefinitely.
Potential for Growth
Maybe there exists another reality in which, rather than outcomes regressing to match displays, performances begin to trend towards results. Important figures might still return to peak condition.
- Ollie Watkins might resume adding to his goal tally.
- The attacking talent may rediscover the force he showed at Borussia Dortmund.
- The defensive duo will eventually regain fitness, bolstering an occasionally vulnerable defence.
This could contain the seeds for a sustained push, however, it is improbable cannot keep relying on Morgan Rogers.
Savoring the Moment
Yet, this is a surprise. Few believed Villa would occupy third at Christmas. And most definitely earlier this season, few could imagine the midfielder now would be leading a championship pursuit while looking like a vital player for the national team.
The current run must be cherished for the very reason that it seems so surreal. When the match-winner stood in front of the Villa faithful after the match leading the celebrations, he appeared to be relishing every moment. Which he fully merits. These spells are uncommon in the sport and should be relished.
